Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.001723 0.001910 0.002098 0.002302 0.002515 0.002731 0.002966
2024-12-22 0.001415 0.001683 0.001962 0.002272 0.002605 0.002950 0.003333
2024-12-29 0.001212 0.001542 0.001897 0.002301 0.002745 0.003214 0.003743
2025-01-05 0.001050 0.001430 0.001850 0.002341 0.002890 0.003479 0.004153
2025-01-12 0.000924 0.001345 0.001825 0.002397 0.003047 0.003755 0.004574
2025-01-19 0.000754 0.001194 0.001711 0.002343 0.003075 0.003883 0.004828
2025-01-26 0.000632 0.001088 0.001642 0.002333 0.003148 0.004057 0.005131
2025-02-02 0.000527 0.000992 0.001576 0.002321 0.003213 0.004219 0.005418
2025-02-09 0.000485 0.000974 0.001604 0.002419 0.003404 0.004524 0.005866
2025-02-16 0.000411 0.000905 0.001561 0.002427 0.003487 0.004702 0.006167
2025-02-23 0.000316 0.000792 0.001454 0.002350 0.003462 0.004752 0.006320
2025-03-02 0.000244 0.000704 0.001373 0.002299 0.003466 0.004832 0.006503
2025-03-09 0.000184 0.000639 0.001337 0.002327 0.003597 0.005097 0.006945
2025-03-16 0.000122 0.000553 0.001265 0.002308 0.003669 0.005297 0.007318
2025-03-23 0.000083 0.000500 0.001237 0.002346 0.003813 0.005584 0.007797
2025-03-30 0.000054 0.000455 0.001216 0.002391 0.003967 0.005885 0.008295
2025-04-06 0.000034 0.000420 0.001207 0.002451 0.004140 0.006210 0.008823
2025-04-13 0.000010 0.000345 0.001122 0.002399 0.004165 0.006350 0.009131
2025-04-20 0.000001 0.000294 0.001071 0.002391 0.004244 0.006558 0.009518
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000248 0.001021 0.002380 0.004317 0.006756 0.009892
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000240 0.001045 0.002480 0.004539 0.007140 0.010492
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000207 0.001011 0.002489 0.004636 0.007366 0.010900
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000155 0.000925 0.002411 0.004610 0.007436 0.011115